You are absolutely right. It will be interesting to see how far prices fall. On a separate note, just received the proposed property tax for Walton Co. The appraised value of our home increased a lot so more money for taxes. I hope everyone who bought homes at ridiculous prices are happy now.
Prices won't tank, but a lot of people are suddenly realizing they didn't cash in their lottery ticket at the right time. There's definitely some hold out hopefuls based on new listings, but there's a lot of bored Realtors out there.
Regarding taxes, we got our trim notice today too, not a bill folks don't freak out. It shows if the budget stays the same my taxes go below a grand a year, and while I'd love to throw that down at Thanksgiving dinner, I'm good with an increase to provide bottom up raises that are restricted to hourly and critical county personnel. A lot of that increase will evaporate when our new residents from the last 3 years discover homestead exemptions. Ironically people who moved here from large metros and the northeast seem oblivious because they're still saving tons on property taxes.